Based on the last two day’s action Crude oil appears to be making attempts at higher ground. We will be late to this move because I do not trust it and need further confirmation before getting bullish exposure for clients. A settlement above $79.50 would be the first hurdle. Natural gas will close 8% higher this [...]
Markets are hot and cold… up and down…bullish then bearish day to day. Until trends are established lighten up and adjust your trading size. Yesterday it appeared a close below the 50 day MA in Crude had prices poised to move lower but a late day rally allowed prices to hold that level; in September [...]
Traders are not drinking the Fed’s Kool-aid today. A surprise build in this week’s inventory report had energy bulls on their heels as it appears September Crude oil will close below the 50 day MA. We suggest moving to the sidelines in futures and lightening up on your bullish options exposure. With the dollar due for [...]
Reform is rejected as “Mr. Market” does not like the coming changes. Oil’s performance today was similar to yesterdays with a large trading range; prices closed virtually unchanged remaining above the 50 day MA. Continue to use the 50 day MA as your pivot point; in August at $76.25. We expect oil to trade between [...]
Please click on spreadsheet to view and zoom to 100% Energies For the last six weeks Crude oil has been in a $10 trading range and as of the close last week prices are just about in the middle of that range trading at $76/barrel on the front month. We suggest buying dips near $73-74 [...]
While there were some commodity standouts as discussed below how about the HEAT All-stars….D.Wade, Chris Bosh and King James. Crude oil has bounced 7% off their intra-week lows and as of this post is at the 20 day MA. We see support in August at $75.50 followed by $74.40. Look early next week for some bullish [...]
As long as indices tread water or move higher money should flow back into commodities and out of Treasuries and the US dollar. Crude followed thru today and now has the 20 day MA in its sights. As we said yesterday as long as equities move higher we think we could see crude appreciate $3-5 [...]
When CNBC is talking about milk futures you must recognize investors are paying more attention to commodities. Solid showing in Crude and the distillates today as prices made a higher low and higher high. As of this post August is running into resistance at the 50% Fibonacci retracement at $74.50. On higher trade tomorrow we [...]
Please click on spreadsheet to view and zoom to 100% Energies Crude oil prices dropped nearly $7/barrel last week and could challenge the lows from late May. We don’t read too much into the sideways action in the last five weeks and instead view it as a trading range. As position traders well know there [...]
If investors are not interested/confident I am a seller. When August Crude took out $77.70; the 9 day MA mentioned yesterday buyers disappeared and as of this post prices are below the 20 day MA down 3.40% on the day. The path of least resistance is down and this leg could drag prices back to $73/barrel. [...]
