Posts Tagged ‘orange juice’

“Reading the Tea leaves”

Monday, February 2nd, 2009

For February 2nd– February 6th 2009 By: Matthew Bradbard The new Administration may have its hands full with a total lack of bipartisanship, the new good bank bad bank policy, and a total lack of confidence, evident by the record money on the sidelines and violent selling, showing little signs of stabilization. We expect investors [...]

“A tradable rally or a reversal?”

Monday, January 26th, 2009

For January 26th– January 30th 2009 By: Matthew Bradbard It is apparent, with the US dollar looking toppish and Treasuries trading lower, that investors seem willing to take some risk. I don’t expect to see the same amount of leverage nor do I expect to see such violent moves, but after a 50-70% reduction in [...]

“Follow the $ back into Commodities”

Tuesday, January 20th, 2009

For January 19th– January 23rd 2009 By: Matthew Bradbard While this week may be a shortened trading week there will be plenty of movement as the economy braces itself for a new regime, seeing that the 44th President, Barrack Obama, is inaugurated Tuesday. The economic outlook remains bad, cash is still king, though we do [...]

Irrational Moves 12/17/08

Wednesday, December 17th, 2008

OPEC delivers the anticipated cut but it aoppears the market had already priced this in as it was no secret. Front month Crude was down 8% on the day. If playing energies we prefer the long side of natural gas looking for the recent lows to hold. Gold and silver continue to merit your attention. [...]

The race to 0% – 12/16/08

Tuesday, December 16th, 2008

Sounds like a broken record but the dollar rules the roost. After a 75-100 basis point reduction in rates what ammunition wil the Fed use next? Get familiar over the next couple months with the term “quantitative easing.” The US dollar was 2.25% lower today and has lost 9% in the last 8 days.  Many [...]

Follow the leader 12/11/08

Thursday, December 11th, 2008

Movement is all about the US dollar and Crude.  The dollar gave up over 2% today and its through its first support; has the move lower begun?  International currencies were 1-2% higher. Crude closed 9% higher on the day and is on the verge of punching through $50/barrel once again.  Gold and silver had a strong showing [...]

A move to hard assets warrants a look at soft commodities

Tuesday, December 2nd, 2008

By Matthew Bradbard December 2, 2008 All asset classes have been hit and commodities are no different, as a way to diversify we suggest that investors with the financial ability, understanding, and intestinal fortitude have 10-20% of their portfolios invested in commodities. We suggest trading both futures and options depending on the circumstances and would [...]

When is Christmas? 12/1/08

Monday, December 1st, 2008

We suggest using this setback in metals to gain long exposure in gold and silver via futures and options. This week the ECB, BOE, RBA and RBNZ all meet on interest rates and we expect cuts across the board; contact us for our expectations. Talk of the British pound becoming part of the Euro contributed [...]

Dollar down = 11/25/08

Tuesday, November 25th, 2008

The US dollar index is down for the third day in a row losing almost 5.0% in as much time.  Commodities continue to base out and we are buyers for clients for a handful of commodities with stops below last week’s lows. Today we bought january soybeans, January fcoj. We continue to like sb, si, [...]