MBWealth’s Commodity Blog

Crude recovered the two previous day’s losses gaining 1.8% today. We expected to see the 50 day MA give way and prices to trade lower, we were wrong. We would move to the sidelines until Crude gives a clearer signal on direction. We expect a trade above $79.50 to signal higher ground and a trade [...]

Regardless of the color of the book traders did not like what they saw. Crude traded below the 50 day MA but did manage a close above that level; in September at $76.30. We would be selling rallies if forced into the market still thinking there is more down side.  By the conclusion of the week [...]

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From my perspective indices are in the driver’s seat and commodities are looking for guidance. Crude is set to finish the week higher by about $3 closing out near a three week high. We assume that if the bulls in the stock market can push or even hold indices at current levels prices could test [...]

Traders are not drinking the Fed’s Kool-aid today. A surprise build in this week’s inventory report had energy bulls on their heels as it appears September Crude oil will close below the 50 day MA. We suggest moving to the sidelines in futures and lightening up on your bullish options exposure. With the dollar due for [...]

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Please click on spreadsheet to view and zoom to 100% Energies For the last six weeks Crude oil has been in a $10 trading range and as of the close last week prices are just about in the middle of that range trading at $76/barrel on the front month. We suggest buying dips near $73-74 [...]

Please click on spreadsheet to view and zoom to 100% Energies Crude oil prices dropped nearly $7/barrel last week and could challenge the lows from late May. We don’t read too much into the sideways action in the last five weeks and instead view it as a trading range. As position traders well know there [...]

Please click on spreadsheet to view and zoom in on reader if needed Energies The trend in recent weeks has been up and though we feel that it will continue we’re expecting a $3-5 set back in Crude oil in the immediate future. In the August contract we expect $79 to act as solid resistance, [...]

Please click on spreadsheet to view and zoom to 100% if needed Energies In the last four weeks prices in Crude have been back and forth in a $9 trading range so from here where do we go? We have a bullish bias but would not be recommending new entries, if already long continue to [...]