MBWealth’s Commodity Blog

Based on the last two day’s action Crude oil appears to be making attempts at higher ground. We will be late to this move because I do not trust it and need further confirmation before getting bullish exposure for clients. A settlement above $79.50 would be the first hurdle. Natural gas will close 8% higher this [...]

Regardless of the color of the book traders did not like what they saw. Crude traded below the 50 day MA but did manage a close above that level; in September at $76.30. We would be selling rallies if forced into the market still thinking there is more down side.  By the conclusion of the week [...]

Weakness in commodities what to do? Here are a few ideas…get short, exit longs or be prepared to buy from lower levels. We think Crude oil and the distillates have put an interim top and expect prices to fall back. We reserve the right to change our mind if September closes above $79.50. We expect [...]

The direction the markets move this week will likely determine where prices go the next several months. We suggest booking profits on longs in Crude thinking we could get a set back. We would rather be on the sidelines wanting in the market than in the market wishing clients were on the sidelines. Prices are [...]

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From my perspective indices are in the driver’s seat and commodities are looking for guidance. Crude is set to finish the week higher by about $3 closing out near a three week high. We assume that if the bulls in the stock market can push or even hold indices at current levels prices could test [...]

Markets are hot and cold… up and down…bullish then bearish day to day. Until trends are established lighten up and adjust your trading size. Yesterday it appeared a close below the 50 day MA in Crude had prices poised to move lower but a late day rally allowed prices to hold that level; in September [...]

Traders are not drinking the Fed’s Kool-aid today. A surprise build in this week’s inventory report had energy bulls on their heels as it appears September Crude oil will close below the 50 day MA. We suggest moving to the sidelines in futures and lightening up on your bullish options exposure. With the dollar due for [...]

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Please click on spreadsheet to view and zoom to 100% Energies For the last six weeks Crude oil has been in a $10 trading range and as of the close last week prices are just about in the middle of that range trading at $76/barrel on the front month. We suggest buying dips near $73-74 [...]