MBWealth’s Commodity Blog

The day is not over but I have not had any strange things happen to me that are typical of this date. I’ll let you know next week if I made it the whole day. Crude failed to make a new high this week closing roughly $5  from its highs. Prices failed at the same [...]

Over the years I’ve learned that when markets are quiet it is easy to fall asleep at the wheel and not abide to your plan but avoid those pitfalls to increase the likelihood for success. Crude bounced off support and closed back above the 9 day MA above $101/barrel. As long as $100 holds prices [...]

Please click on the spreadsheet to view, zoom to 100% if needed. The Line in the Sand format has changed, you will be receiving the chart on technical analysis Monday mornings. Please visit Matthew’s Daily Thought for your market wrap ups and predictions. In addition he will be posting a new article per week, you [...]

Please click on the spreadsheet to view, zoom to 100% if needed. The Line in the Sand format has changed, you will be receiving the chart on technical analysis Monday mornings. Please visit Matthew’s Daily Thought for your market wrap ups and predictions. In addition he will be posting a new article per week, you [...]

Crude finished higher for the  third day running now gaining  3.45% as of this post. I expect some back and fill but dips that hold $95 in February should be bought. Hedgers should also start working back into their RBOB and heating oil hedges as bounces in Crude likely will lead to higher pricing in the distillates…trade accordingly. [...]

I expect further weakness in equities and that weakness could spill over into select commodities…trade accordingly. February Crude is having trouble making new lows. If we do not see lower trade in the next few days we will likely reverse and exit all remaining shorts and start scaling back into longs…stay tuned.  A new low [...]

Please click on the spreadsheet to view, zoom to 100% if needed. The Line in the Sand format has changed, you will be receiving the chart on technical analysis Monday mornings. Please visit Matthew’s Daily Thought for your market wrap ups and predictions. In addition he will be posting a new article per week, you [...]

When Crude was negative in early dealings we reached the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level; our first target. A trade below $92.50 in February and we could see $89. At that level we would be looking to reverse and shift from a bearish stance to bullish stance…stay tuned. If we do see a further $3-4 slide [...]

Today’s pause in selling is just that a pause as we expect more downside to come in both stocks and commodities. Continue to sell rallies in Crude as the 40 day MA should cap any spikes higher. WTI Crude is nearly $10 off its highs just in the last three days as we should make [...]

A number of commodities have gotten drilled of late and in my humble opinion there is more to come. Crude is lower by $5 closing back under to 40 day MA …our first target mentioned in recent posts. From here we should see $93 and possibly a trade under $90/barrel…trade accordingly. Continue to use rallies [...]